Havering and Redbridge (London Assembly constituency)

Havering and Redbridge

Territorial constituency for the London Assembly
Havering and Redbridge shown within London
Created	2000 (2000)
Number of members	One
Member	Keith Prince
Party	Conservative
Last election	2024
Next election	2028

Havering and Redbridge is a territorial constituency represented on the London Assembly by one Assembly Member (AM). The constituency was created in 2000 at the same time as the London Assembly and has elections every four years. It consists of the combined area of the London Borough of Havering and the London Borough of Redbridge. The current assembly member is Keith Prince of the Conservative Party who was first elected in 2016.

Constituency profile

Created in 2000, Havering and Redbridge has elected only Conservative AMs to date. The current AM is Keith Prince, first elected in 2016.

The Conservative win upon its creation in 2000 was somewhat unexpected, as at that point, the vast majority of the area it covers (excluding two Redbridge wards that fall under the Chingford and Woodford Green parliamentary seat) was represented by Labour MPs. However, the Romford and Upminster constituencies were among the very small number of seats that the Conservatives gained from Labour at the subsequent general election of 2001.

In line with this, the Conservative majority increased here in 2004, while the trend towards the Conservatives in this area of London continued in the 2005 general election result, which saw the Conservatives winning increased majorities in the two seats they already held, whilst also gaining the constituencies of Hornchurch and Ilford North from Labour. Consequently, this London Assembly seat became very safe for the Conservatives in the 2008 election, where they got more than twice as many votes as Labour.

The seat has, however, become extremely marginal in recent years, following a swing of almost 12% to Labour in the 2012 election. This swing against the Conservatives preluded Labour gaining a majority on Redbridge Council in 2014 for the first time since its creation, the Conservatives losing overall control on Havering Council and Labour gaining the Ilford North seat back from the Conservatives at the 2015 general election. The seat became slightly more marginal in 2016, but it was not enough for Labour to gain it. The Conservatives increased their majority in 2021, and held the seat again in 2024.

Assembly members

Year		Member	Party
	2000	Roger Evans	Conservative
	2016	Keith Prince	Conservative

Mayoral election results

Below are the results for the candidate which received the highest share of the popular vote in the constituency at each mayoral election.

Year		Mayoral candidate	Party
	2000	Ken Livingstone	Independent
	2004	Steven Norris	Conservative
	2008	Boris Johnson	Conservative
	2012	Boris Johnson	Conservative
	2016	Zac Goldsmith	Conservative
	2021	Shaun Bailey	Conservative
	2024	Susan Hall	Conservative

Assembly election results

2024 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Constituency			List
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Keith Prince	65,037	37.9	-8.1	62,200	36.3
	Labour	Guy Williams	49,561	28.9	-8.0	50,941	29.7
	Reform UK	Alex Wilson	19,696	11.5	+8.4	17,718	10.3
	Green	Kim Arrowsmith	15,010	8.8	+0.7	13,727	8.0
	Independent	Mohammed Asif	11,768	6.9	New
	Liberal Democrats	Fraser Coppin	8,240	4.8	0.0	7,955	4.6
	Britain First					3,894	2.3
	Rejoin EU					3,250	1.9
	Animal Welfare					2,964	1.7
	Independent	Farah London				2,832	1.7
	TUSC	Andy Walker	2,145	1.3	+0.2
	CPA					1,884	1.1
	SDP					1,705	1.0
	Independent	Laurence Fox				1,257	0.7
	Communist					636	0.4
	Heritage					338	0.2
	Independent	Gabe Romualdo				172	0.1
Majority			15,476	9.0
Valid Votes			171,457			171,473
Invalid Votes			1,274			1,239
Turnout			172,731	42.91%		172,712	42.91%
	Conservative hold		Swing

2021 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Keith Prince	77,268	46.0	+8.3
	Labour	Judith Garfield	61,941	36.9	0.0
	Green	Melanie Collins	13,685	8.1	+2.5
	Liberal Democrats	Thomas Clarke	8,150	4.8	+0.7
	Reform UK	Richard Tice	5,143	3.1	New
	TUSC	Andy Walker	1,856	1.1	New
Majority			15,327	9.1	+8.3
Total formal votes			168,043
Informal votes			2,741
Turnout			170,784
	Conservative hold		Swing

2016 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Keith Prince	64,483	37.7	+0.1
	Labour	Ivana Bartoletti	63,045	36.9	+2.1
	UKIP	Lawrence Webb	26,788	15.7	+9.0
	Green	Lee Burkwood	9,617	5.6	+1.9
	Liberal Democrats	Ian Sanderson	7,105	4.1	−0.4
Majority			1,438	0.8	−2.0
Total formal votes			171,038	99.0	+0.4
Informal votes			1768	1.0	−0.4
Turnout			172,806	45.0	+8.1
	Conservative hold		Swing

2012 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Roger Evans	53,285	37.6	−10.1
	Labour	Mandy Richards	49,346	34.8	+13.3
	UKIP	Lawrence Webb	9,471	6.7	−0.7
	Residents' Association of London	Malvin Brown	8,239	5.8	New
	Liberal Democrats	Farrukh Islam	6,435	4.5	−2.9
	BNP	Robert Taylor	5,234	3.7	New
	Green	Haroon Said	5,207	3.7	−1.9
	English Democrat	Mark Twiddy	2,573	1.8	−2.1
	National Front	Richard Edmonds	1,936	1.4	New
Majority			3,939	2.8	−22.8
Total formal votes			141,726	98.6
Informal votes			1,993	1.4
Turnout			143,759	36.9	−8.6
	Conservative hold		Swing

2008 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Roger Evans	78,493	46.7	+13.1
	Labour	Balvinder Saund	35,468	21.1	–0.6
	Liberal Democrats	Farrukh Islam	12,443	7.4	–6.8
	UKIP	Lawrence Webb	12,203	7.3	–6.9
	Green	Ashley Gunstock	9,126	5.4	+0.7
	English Democrat	Leo Brookes	6,487	3.9	New
	Christian (CPA)	Paula Warren	5,533	3.3	+1.0
	Independent	Peter Thorogood	3,450	2.1	+0.9
	Left List	Carole Vincent	1,473	0.9	New
Majority			43,025	25.6	+12.7
Turnout			167,922	45.5	+8.6
	Conservative hold		Swing

2004 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Roger Evans	44,723	34.6	–2.9
	Labour	Keith Darvill	28,017	21.7	–8.3
	UKIP	Lawrence Webb	18,297	14.2	New
	Liberal Democrats	Matthew Lake	13,646	10.6	–2.3
	Residents' Association of London	Malvin Brown	6,925	5.4	–6.4
	Green	Ashley Gunstock	6,009	4.7	–1.5
	Respect	Abdurahman Jafar	5,185	4.0	New
	CPA	Juliet Hawkins	2,917	2.3	New
	National Liberal	David Stephens	2,031	1.6	New
	Independent	Peter Thorogood	1,597	1.2	New
Majority			16,706	12.9	+5.4
Turnout			129,347	36.9	+6.1
	Conservative hold		Swing

2000 London Assembly election: Havering and Redbridge

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Roger Evans	40,919	37.5	N/A
	Labour	Chris Robbins	32,650	30.0	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Geoffrey Seeff	14,028	12.9	N/A
	Havering Residents Association	Ian Wilkes	12,831	11.8	N/A
	Green	Ashley Gunstock	6,803	6.2	N/A
	London Socialist	George Taylor	1,744	1.6	N/A
Majority			8,269	7.5	N/A
Turnout			108,975	30.8	N/A
	Conservative win (new seat)